Joe Biden’s presidential campaign is on the rocks.
He’s trailing Donald Trump badly in the polls.
And now, one of America’s top pollsters just issued a dire warning for Biden’s re-election odds.
If the 2024 presidential election were held today, Joe Biden would almost certainly lose.
That is the narrative being pushed by Nate Silver, the famous pollster and elections forecaster who is now publicly revealing that he expects Joe Biden to go down in flames in November.
According to Silver, who famously predicted the outcome of the 2012 presidential campaign and warned Democrats that Trump stood a real chance of winning in 2016, Biden’s re-election odds are plummeting by the day.
“Biden needs to reassure the American public that he’s capable of handling public appearances that aren’t on easy mode. Or he needs to stand down. Or he’s probably going to lose to Trump,” Silver wrote on X.
“Personally, I crossed the Rubicon in November, concluding that Biden should stand down if he wasn’t going to be able to run a normal reelection campaign — meaning, things like conduct a Super Bowl interview,” Silver said.
“Yes, it’s a huge risk and, yes, Biden can still win. But he’s losing now and there’s no plan to fix the problems other than hoping that the polls are wrong or that voters look at the race differently when they have more time to focus on it.”
For Joe Biden, this public forecasting spells disaster.
Silver is not a conservative by any measure, so the fact that someone as liberal as he is is publicly calling on Joe Biden to step aside is a sign that Democrat political activists, pundits, pollsters, and fundraisers alike are panicking.
With Biden’s approval rating at rock-bottom lows, and Democrats openly advocating for their party members to vote against Biden over the war in Gaza, and the American people still grappling with the worst case of inflation in more than 40 years, the dire prediction from Nate Silver appears to be coming true in slow motion.
However, the problem is it’s almost certainly too late for the party to nominate anyone other than Joe Biden.
With the primary already well underway, the party is now stuck with the most unpopular incumbent in modern polling history, with an overwhelming majority of the American public saying they do not want to see him re-elected in November.
And even if Biden were to drop out, the presumptive replacement would likely be Kamala Harris, who’s poll numbers are actually even worse.
The only option for Democrats is to continue with their attempts to discredit Trump and throw him in prison before November.