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In just a few days, this country votes, and if you turned on the news this morning, you were told the result is already settled. The averages have called it. The markets have priced it. The maps have colored it in. And that certainty is exactly why you should be skeptical.
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00:00 – What’s at stake if Democrats take Congress
03:50 – Is this a normal midterm swing or a blue wave?
09:47 – What the House, Senate and governor polls are showing
15:45 – Why this year’s Senate battlegrounds are all Trump states
23:42 – Why some of these races could signal the next 20 years
26:37 – Michigan Senate: Abdul El-Sayed vs. Mike Rogers
35:14 – Texas Senate: Ken Paxton vs. James Talarico
39:46 – What it would take for Paxton to win Texas
45:11 – Ohio governor: Vivek Ramaswamy vs. Amy Acton
52:37 – Georgia governor: Rick Jackson vs. Keisha Lance Bottoms
56:40 – Nevada governor: Joe Lombardo vs. Aaron Ford
59:57 – Why Democrats are leading in the Kansas Senate polls
1:03:20 – Why Scott Perry and John McGuire are in toss-up races
1:11:51 – What’s at stake in four swing-state legislatures
1:19:41 – What Democrats would do if they win the House
This is Episode 612 of Making the Argument, published October 30, 2026.
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