It’s one of the bluest states in the country.
And no Republican has won the state in over a decade.
But new polling suggests that Democrats may be in deep trouble in the last place they expect.
When the American public thinks of a “Blue State”, thoughts usually turn to a handful of top-tier contenders.
Among them are New York, Illinois, and California.
Out of the three, California likely competes with New York for the dubious distinction of being among the largest Democratic strongholds in the country.
And it isn’t hard to see why. The state has long since been considered a Democratic bastion unlike anything else in the country. Democrats have won the state in every Presidential election since 1992. In 2020, Joe Biden vanquished Donald Trump in the Golden State by a colossal 29 point margin, 63% to 34%.
But decades of Democratic single-party rule in the state’s capital of Sacramento has led to a mass exodus of political refugees, who have fled California in favor of lower-tax states such as Nevada, Arizona, and Texas.
Yet Democratic policies haven’t just driven away millions of Californians into other states, it’s also seemingly begun to change California’s own political leanings.
And now, it appears that Democrats may be in serious jeopardy of losing control of the Governor’s mansion for the first time since 2006.
The Los Angeles Times reports, “Gov. Gavin Newsom’s job approval rating among California voters has plummeted, driven largely by dissatisfaction over the state’s response to the COVID-19 pandemic and adding fuel to a Republican-led recall campaign, according to a new poll by the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies.”
Governor Newsom has presided over one of the worst periods in California’s political history, as the state transitioned from being a solid blue state to one of effectively single-party rule, as the state’s Republican Party has been completely driven from power at virtually every level.
Yet it’s California’s failing economy, massive emigration crisis to other states, and abysmal response to the Coronavirus pandemic that has led to Newsom’s collapsing approval rating, fueling talk that the Governor may be recalled from office.
The Berkeley IGS Poll the Lost Angels Times refers to shows that Newsom has just a 46% approval rating, and fewer than 45% would oppose efforts to remove the Governor via a recall election this year.
“Fueling the decline is the public’s much more negative assessment of the way Newsom and state government are handling the pandemic. The latest poll finds fewer than one in three Californians (31%) rating Newsom as doing an excellent or good job in handling the pandemic overall, down from 49% last September. Also, just 22% offer a positive rating of the job he and state government are doing in overseeing the distribution of the coronavirus vaccines to the public. In addition, only about half (47%) have a great deal or some trust in the way the Governor and state government are setting the rules when issuing stay-at-home orders or setting guidelines for business to follow to slow the spread of the virus, with majorities describing them as inconsistent (62%), confusing (60%) and ineffective (53%),” Berkeley IGS Poll Director Mark DiCamillo writes in a press release detailing the new poll’s results.
Newsom’s net approval rating is now down 30 points over the past four months, marking a historic collapse for the Democratic Governor from a net +28 approval last September to a -2 approval rating this January.
The public’s souring of Newsom’s job in the Governor’s office, along with Democratic mismanagement of the state during the middle of a pandemic and economic crash which was at least partially attributed to severe Democrat-imposed lockdowns on the state for much of the past year, has led to multiple Republicans mulling the prospects of running for Governor in a potential recall election.
“His public image took a hit in November when he attended a lobbyist’s birthday party at the upscale French Laundry restaurant in Napa Valley after pleading with Californians to stay home and avoid similar multifamily gatherings,” adds the Los Angeles Times.
Supporters of the recall effort have already collected over 1 million signatures and have until March 17th to turn in at least 1.5 million in order to trigger a recall election.